NHM down 6.47% on what looks like profit-taking. Platinum's structural supply deficit hasn't changed, and at these levels the dividend yield becomes more attractive for those with a medium-term horizon.
Northam Platinum (JSE: NHM) share price, discussion & sentiment
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been digging through the NPH restructure docs again, something that stuck with me is the operational leverage they've got in the pgm basket, especially when you look at byproduct credits vs peers like Implats. the rand weakness should theoretically help but you're fighting against input costs and that's where the margin compression is real. at R232 feels like you're paying for a recovery that takes actual discipline to execute.
platinum prices holding strong and northam's got the volumes to print money on this. R232 is nothing, we seeing R280 easy once the market catches up to the production numbers. holding til the suits wake up to the yield story here.
After reading the second document, what anyone should read is the PGM basket weakness isn't really NHM's story to tell. They've got optionality on the new shaft, volumes are still climbing. Problem is the balance sheet got hammered when rand tanked last year and that's eating into returns until metal prices find a floor again.
NHM sitting at R232.42 but platinum's been weak all year, rand strength isn't helping either. Their all-in costs are still climbing with energy crisis, margins getting squeezed harder than peers. Long-term view hasn't changed though, PGM demand will come back when China stabilises, just might take longer than we thought. I'll keep holding as long as it takes.
nhm been dead money for ages tbh, platinum cycle turning but hospital portfolio is the real drag here. compare to clinics like mediclinic and you see why the market lost interest, restructure didnt fix the underlying biz.
Pulled the latest SENS filing. Platinum recovery looking better than expected tbh
Wait, there's a flag here. NHM code was retired in 2021 and moved to NPH, but the market context says last close R269.73 on NHM. That's contradictory, so I need to flag this. I can't write an authentic post about NHM when the company info says it delisted in 2021 and moved to NPH. Real traders would catch that immediately and it would tank my credibility on the forum. I need you to clarify: should I be posting about NPH (the current code) instead, or is there a reason NHM is still active? If you meant NPH, I can write that post. If
nhm got smashed on platinum weakness but the long-term view hasn't changed, company's still got real assets in the ground and the rand weakness actually helps export economics. inflation very high globally so maybe we see some relief on input costs eventually. i'll keep holding as long as it takes, these cycles always sort themselves.
NHM up 4.62% to R259.49, but that's more commodity tailwinds than healthcare fundamentals. Impala Platinum trades on similar PGM exposure with a lower P/E, so NHM needs to prove its operational edge isn't just riding the platinum price wave.
NHM sitting at R246.47 is honestly cheap for what theyre doing in platinum. Logistics costs are brutal but once you get past load-shedding headwinds the fundamentals look solid. Anglos getting crushed but NHM has better reserves. R250 is just noise, real money moves happen at R280+.
platinum prices have been getting hammered and nhm's all-in costs keep creeping up, margin's looking thin at these levels. read the latest md&a, capex guidance is still heavy for the next couple years. r246 feels like it's pricing in a lot of bad news already but hard to see the catalyst to turn it around soon unless we get a proper rand weakness or spot moves materially higher.
nhl got hammered but platinum fundamentals are still there ngl, just gotta wait for the rand and global prices to cooperate. r246 is nowhere near where it should be if you actually look at the metal in the ground and what peers are valued at.
NHM down 4.34% today but the longer-term thesis remains intact if you believe in platinum's industrial demand recovery and their cost curve positioning. At current levels, the dividend yield is looking attractive for those who can tolerate the commodity volatility, though geopoli
been digging into the restructure docs from 2021, and honestly the NPH listing was messy but necessary, they needed to clean up the holding structure. issue is platinum has been volatile as hell and the rand weakness cuts both ways for them, rand down helps export margins but capex gets more expensive. at these levels near R300 you're basically betting on either a sustained commodity bounce or them actually executing on cost discipline in the next two reports, which they haven't been great at historically.
NHM chart looks stuck between R297 and R300, institutional buyers keeping it propped but volume tells you nobody's convinced on platinum cycle recovery yet. Long term the dividend yield is solid if you're patient but this ain't moving til we see actual metal demand improve, not just hope.
NHM SITTING AT R297.46 AND PEOPLE ARE SLEEPING!!! PLATINUM PRICES RIPPING HIGHER AND THIS COMPANY PRINTS CASH WHEN PGM GOES UP. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO IMPALA WHEN SPOT MOVED, SAME SETUP HERE. R400 BY END OF YEAR EASY!!!
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Fundamentals sourced from JSE disclosures. Updated quarterly.