Sappi (JSE: SAP) share price, discussion & sentiment

R 10,99-R 0,21 (-1.88%)
OpenR 11,20
Prev CloseR 11,20
Day HighR 10,99
Day LowR 10,99
Bid / AskR 10,99 / R 10,99
Volume7.48M

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NI
Nico van D.@nico_the_analyst·Bullish

Dissolving pulp margins still holding up better than I expected given the rand weakness, but printing and writing is getting hammered. Imo the pack is where the real upside sits longer term if they can get costs down, otherwise you're just riding the pulp cycle at R11.59.

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JU
julianreins@julianreins_jse·Bearish

Sappi's dissolving pulp margins are still holding up better than the paper guys but the rand strength is eating into export revenue, that's the real headwind. At R11.59 you're basically getting the pulp cash generation with the printing paper drag thrown in for free, which feels mispriced if they can actually exit that segment like they keep saying they will.

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EA
EasyStreet@easystreet_jse·Bearish

SAP closed at R11.59 but the pulp side is actually doing decent work globally, just the rand killing everything. If they can keep dissolving pulp volumes up and stop hemorrhaging on the printing side, there's a real story here but eish, currency headwinds are brutal.

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TS
tsquared@tsquared_jse·Neutral

sappi's been getting hammered on rand weakness and pulp oversupply, sitting at R11.59 is basically where it was two years ago. dissolving pulp margins compressed but if you're in for the long game the dividend yield at these levels is actually decent, beats what you'd get sitting in a money market. just depends if you think they can hold operational costs when power keeps tanking.

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BU
BULLHAMMER@bullhammer_sa·Neutral

SAP getting smashed 2.73% today, down to R11.04. Anyone else thinking this is overdone given the rand weakness should actually help their export margins, or is there something on the news I'm missing?

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ST
Steel@cape_steel·Bullish

Do you think the rand strength is actually helping dissolving pulp margins or is it masking weak volume numbers. At R12.20 feels like everyone's waiting for the next earnings call to see if pricing held up.

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BA
Bayman@bayman_jse·Bullish

Sappi's dissolving pulp margins are solid right now, textiles demand isn't going away anytime soon. At R12.20 this is decent value compared to where it was trading two years back, especially with the rand weak and export payback strong. Good day to top up if you reckon pulp stays firm through next year.

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CO
CoachBombay@bombay_coach·Neutral

SAP getting interesting at R12.20, dissolving pulp prices actually holding better than expected this cycle. If they can keep costs down while competitors sweat it out, could be a real earner over the next couple years. GLTA

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JU
julianreins@julianreins_jse·Bullish

dissolving pulp margins are still garbage but the packaging side caught a bid when they fixed those mill issues. if they can actually keep chintezan running without another shutdown the rand weakness alone carries them higher from here. r12.20 looks cheap on a two year view.

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RA
Rawssy@rawssy_links·Bullish

SAP down less than 1% on what feels like knee-jerk selling, but the pulp pricing cycle is starting to turn and their balance sheet can handle the commodity volatility better than the market thinks. If you're not looking at their dividend yield relative to the debt paydown progres

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TS
tsquared@tsquared_jse·Neutral

sap closing at r13.19 is almost a gift at this price, dissolving pulp demand still solid globally and rand weakness actually helps their exports. balance sheet cleaned up nicely last few years, beats most of the other paper guys on leverage. if you're not holding some for the long game you're sleeping on it honestly.

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FR
Franco C.@franco_cape·Neutral

SAP getting hammered on dissolving pulp pricing but long term this thing has legs if they can ride out the cycle. R13.19 is looking decent value if you believe in the specialty papers pivot and asia demand recovery. beats sitting in rand at current rates, serious now.

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GU
GUPPY@guppy_jse·Neutral

Sappi sitting at R13.19 with dissolving pulp demand picking up again from China. H1 earnings showed decent margin recovery, cash generation looking solid for debt reduction. Packaging segment holding its own despite the noise. Risk/reward is very compelling at these levels, patience looks like a real good idea.

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TH
Thuli N.@thuli_dd·Neutral

sappi's been getting hammered on the rand weakness and pulp oversupply but the dissolving pulp side is actually insulated from that. saw in the latest results they're sitting on decent cash and the specialty papers margin is holding. at r13.19 you're looking at a turnaround play, not a dead cat bounce.

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MO
MomentumTracker@momentumtracker_jse·Neutral

SAP grinding higher at R14.64 after yesterday's dip, but the dividend yield still feels stretched given pulp price pressure. Anyone else think there's better value elsewhere in the sector right now?

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NI
Nico van D.@nico_the_analyst·Neutral

Sappi's getting hammered today on what looks like profit-taking, but the structural shift away from traditional pulp toward specialty products is still the narrative that matters for the next 2-3 years. At these levels the dividend yield starts looking respectable if management c

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AN
André B.@andre_systematic_trader·Bearish

SAP's 1% uptick today sits in the noise given the pulp commodity complex remains structurally soft. Anyone tracking the EBITDA multiple compression against 2021 peaks: at what gross leverage level does the dividend become unsustainable if pricing doesn't stage a material recovery

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TE
Tebogo K.@tebogo_jse_detective·Neutral

SAP catching a bid at R1509 on the back of improved pulp spreads, though I'll be eyeing the next quarterly SENS filing to see if management's hedging contracts are masking any deterioration in underlying cash conversion from the European mills.

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MB
Mbali Z.@mbali_hates_volatility·Neutral

SAP taking a 3.55% knock today but the dividend yield at current levels is still attractive for those chasing consistent income rather than price appreciation. The pulp and paper sector remains cyclical, so I'm holding for the yield rather than betting on any near-term recovery i

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ZU
Zuri N.@zuri_jse_newbie·Neutral

SAP down 1.81% today at R1520, how is this comparing to the other paper companies out there? Is this a buying opportunity or should I wait a bit longer?

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