Picked up more S32 at this dip, dividend yield sitting around 5.8% and the copper exposure still makes sense given where we are in the cycle.
South32 (JSE: S32) share price, discussion & sentiment
to join the discussion
S32 trading near R46 with dividends still flowing decently despite commodity headwinds, and the diversified portfolio across copper, nickel, and coal gives it more resilience than single-commodity plays when the cycle turns. Long-term the balance sheet is solid enough to ride out
S32 up 4.63% today on the back of firmer commodity prices. Dividend yield is sitting around 7% at these levels, which is decent if you believe the cycle has legs.
S32 up nearly 5% today on the back of commodity strength, though the dividend yield is still only 3.8% so you're really betting on further upside rather than income.
S32 trading at R47.33 with that flat close tells me the market's still pricing in commodity headwinds. Diversified exposure across coal, alumina and manganese gives it some buffer, but until we see clear upside on volumes or pricing power, the dividend yield needs to justify hold
Grabbed some S32 at R49.50 after that 11% pop on the back of better commodity pricing, reckon the dividend yield justifies holding through the volatility even if we're not out of the woods yet on the macro front.
manganese royalties getting squeezed, nickel exposure isn't helping either. R45 looks heavy when you think about where capex is heading. ngl, waiting to see if they actually cut the dividend or just talk about it.
Pulled the latest results. Nickel and aluminium margins getting squeezed ngl, but long-term view hasn't changed.
interesting numbers on the manganese side of things, s32's realizing better prices than where spot was trading last quarter but volumes are still soft. fwiw the real question is whether they can hold margin when the rand strengthens, cos most of the upside pricing wise got priced in already imo. long term story is still there but near term might be choppy.
S32 dropping 1.64% to R48.52 feels like profit-taking, especially with commodities still showing decent support.
S32 sitting pretty at R53.38 with those dividends coming through. Diversified across nickel, manganese, zinc, real hedge against single commodity risk. Comparing to BHP or Rio they're under-valued imo, especially with the manganese spreads staying decent. Holding long.
s32 sitting at r53.38 and honestly the yield is lekker if you're in for the long game. nickel and manganese exposure gives you a decent hedge against rand weakness, beats sitting in cash. diversified enough that one commodity tanking won't kill you like the single-play miners.
S32 closed at R53.38, sitting pretty near those highs from earlier in the year. Dividend yield's still decent for a diversified miner and the nickel exposure is looking less scary now that prices aren't in the gutter like they were. Better than sitting in cash with load-shedding eating everything else in the market.
S32 sitting at R53.38 is decent value for a diversified basket like this. Aluminium and manganese exposure gives you a hedge against rand weakness, plus the nickel play is starting to look better as EV demand picks up. Been gobbling them up under R53 when I can, think this could easily trade back to R60-65 if commodities stay firm. Not selling at these prices, too much upside left.
Closed at R53.38, nickel and manganese exposure holding up better than most diversified miners right now. Similar setup to what we saw with Glencore when commodity volatility hit, long-term view hasn't changed though. Dividend yield still decent if they keep the discipline on capex.
Manganese exposure is the real prize here, reckon most miss that while fixating on nickel. BHP's doing similar diversification but S32 at R53.38 sits cheaper on earnings and the rand weakness is a tailwind for export margins. Long view, you're holding a hedge against commodity cycles that actually pays dividends.
Nickel and manganese are where the real money is for S32 right now, especially with battery demand still climbing. Problem is execution on the cost side. Need to see those unit costs come down and maybe a decent offtake agreement locked in. Once that happens and the rand stays weak, this runs. Simple as that.
S32 down 1.68% today but trading at a reasonable 8.5x P/E with that 5.2% dividend yield cushioning the downside. Commodity exposure keeps it volatile, but the valuation looks fair if you're after some income from diversified mining assets.
Valuation
Price Range
Current R 53,25 — 50% of range
Performance
Trading
Fundamentals sourced from JSE disclosures. Updated quarterly.